Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2? — live odds

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $13K has changed hands so far, $11K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$11K

24h volume

$13K

total volume

Nov 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±4.3¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • High volatility

    ±19¢ swing band

    11h ago
  • Odds swing

    68¢ → 2¢ (-66.1¢ in 15 min)

    11h ago
  • Odds swing

    44¢ → 2¢ (-41.7¢ in 15 min)

    11h ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.5¢ swing band

    1d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on November 2?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 2, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$13K has been traded in total, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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