Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16? — live odds

Part of Ethereum above ___ on October 16?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 16?" is trading at a 2% implied probability, with YES at 2¢ and NO at 98¢. $104K has changed hands so far, $71K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 2¢NO 98¢

recent price

-22¢ over the window

-22¢

24h change

$71K

24h volume

$104K

total volume

Oct 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±7.2¢ swing band
29m ago
Volume spike
$202 traded — 11.2× the average
40m ago
High volatility
±4.2¢ swing band
44m ago
Volume spike
$420 traded — 23.2× the average
47m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.413¢ vs 0.0234¢ normal
50m ago
Volume spike
$200 traded — 11.1× the average
54m ago
Volume spike
$203 traded — 12× the average
59m ago
Volume spike
$54 traded — 3.3× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$110 traded — 6.7× the average
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.