Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7? — final odds

Resolved YES · October 7, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7?" resolved YES on October 7, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $88K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$70K

24h volume

$88K

total volume

Oct 7, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±33.3¢ swing band
6d ago
High volatility
±14.9¢ swing band
6d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 67¢ (-30.9¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
6d ago
High volatility
±14.7¢ swing band
6d ago
Volume spike
$553 traded — 32.2× the average
6d ago
Volume spike
$200 traded — 11.6× the average
6d ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 99¢ (+38.5¢ in 15 min)
6d ago
Volume spike
$68 traded — 4× the average
6d ago
High volatility
±20.1¢ swing band
6d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 7?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 7, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.