Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16? — final odds

Resolved YES · September 16, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?" resolved YES on September 16, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $70K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$41K

24h volume

$70K

total volume

Sep 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0042¢ normal
52m ago
High volatility
±44.3¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±25¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±7¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 0¢ (-16.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±28.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 100¢ (+86.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±26.7¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 94¢ (+92.9¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±46.8¢ swing band
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 16?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on September 16, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.