Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8? — final odds

Resolved YES · September 8, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?" resolved YES on September 8, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $86K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$60K

24h volume

$86K

total volume

Sep 8, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0067¢ normal
2d ago
High volatility
±28.4¢ swing band
2d ago
High volatility
±4.3¢ swing band
2d ago
conviction signal
2d ago
Odds swing
73¢ → 1¢ (-72¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±51.2¢ swing band
2d ago
Odds swing
57¢ → 1¢ (-56¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±28.6¢ swing band
2d ago
High volatility
±18.9¢ swing band
2d ago
High volatility
±17.3¢ swing band
2d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Quick answers

How did "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 8?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on September 8, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.