Ethereum Up or Down on August 11? — final odds

This market has ended · August 11, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on August 11?" resolved on August 11, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $103K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

+100¢ over the window

+100¢

24h change

$103K

24h volume

$103K

total volume

Aug 11, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0287¢ normal
56m ago
High volatility
±42.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 88¢ (+87.7¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±9.9¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±31.8¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
15¢ → 68¢ (+53¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±10.2¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 12¢ (-82¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.24¢ vs 0.0222¢ normal
2h ago
Odds swing
57¢ → 72¢ (+15¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on August 11?" resolve?

This market ended on August 11, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.