Ethereum Up or Down on August 14? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 14, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?" resolved YES on August 14, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $146K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$140K

24h volume

$146K

total volume

Aug 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±28¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5.3¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±29.3¢ swing band
3h ago
conviction signal
3h ago
High volatility
±28.3¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±18¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 24¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±4.3¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±29.8¢ swing band
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 13 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 14 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on August 14?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.