Ethereum Up or Down on August 15? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 15, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on August 15?" resolved YES on August 15, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $133K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$128K

24h volume

$133K

total volume

Aug 15, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±58.7¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±7.9¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
51¢ → 64¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 63¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
Odds swing
45¢ → 60¢ (+15¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±11.3¢ swing band
4h ago
conviction signal
4h ago
High volatility
±6.4¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 60¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on August 15?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 15, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.