Ethereum Up or Down on August 26? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 26, 2026Final price 97¢ YES — the market gave this a 97% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on August 26?" resolved YES on August 26, 2026 at a final price of 97¢ YES — a 97% implied probability — after $78K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

97%

implied probability

YES 97¢NO 3¢

recent price

—

24h change

$78K

24h volume

$78K

total volume

Aug 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±28.2¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±42.2¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 99¢ (+98.4¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±13.8¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 3¢ (-65¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
7¢ → 64¢ (+57¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±35.6¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±15¢ swing band
5h ago
conviction signal
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Aug 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 25 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Aug 26 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on August 26?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 26, 2026. Its final traded price was 97¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 97¢ — an implied probability of 97%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.