Ethereum Up or Down on November 7? — final odds

Resolved YES · November 7, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?" resolved YES on November 7, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $75K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$64K

24h volume

$75K

total volume

Nov 7, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 0.1¢ vs 0.0214¢ normal
3h ago
Odds swing
29¢ → 19¢ (-10.5¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
25¢ → 68¢ (+43¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
conviction signal
3h ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 94¢ (+15¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 56¢ (-13¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±9.3¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 50¢ (+29¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±6.5¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Nov 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Nov 6 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Nov 7 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on November 7?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on November 7, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.