Ethereum Up or Down on October 23? — final odds

Resolved YES · October 23, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?" resolved YES on October 23, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $39K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$40K

24h volume

$39K

total volume

Oct 23, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
8h ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 5¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
High volatility
±23.4¢ swing band
9h ago
Odds swing
74¢ → 14¢ (-60¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
High volatility
±37.2¢ swing band
9h ago
High volatility
±31.3¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±18.5¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
54¢ → 63¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±8.3¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
18¢ → 29¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
10h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 22 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 23 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on October 23?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 23, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.