Ethereum Up or Down on October 24? — final odds

This market has ended · October 24, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?" resolved on October 24, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $53K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

—

24h change

$51K

24h volume

$53K

total volume

Oct 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 95¢ (+94.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±21.6¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 55¢ (+52.8¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±24.4¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 1¢ (-12.2¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±29.2¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 69¢ (+56¢ in 15 min)
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Oct 23 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Oct 24 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on October 24?" resolve?

This market ended on October 24, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.