Ethereum Up or Down on September 1? — final odds

Resolved NO · September 1, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on September 1?" resolved NO on September 1, 2026 at a final price of 1¢ YES — a 1% implied probability — after $49K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

—

24h change

$49K

24h volume

$49K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±11.4¢ swing band
23h ago
High volatility
±26.1¢ swing band
23h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 93¢ (+91.6¢ in 15 min)
23h ago
High volatility
±15.5¢ swing band
23h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 15¢ (+13.1¢ in 15 min)
23h ago
conviction signal
24h ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
1d ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 28¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)
1d ago
High volatility
±4.9¢ swing band
1d ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 30¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)
1d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Aug 31 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 1 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on September 1?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.