Ethereum Up or Down on September 15? — final odds

This market has ended · September 15, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

"Ethereum Up or Down on September 15?" resolved on September 15, 2026 at a final price of 95¢ YES — a 95% implied probability — after $58K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

—

24h change

$57K

24h volume

$58K

total volume

Sep 15, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0137¢ normal
2h ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 0¢ (-98.9¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 10¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±6.6¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±10.3¢ swing band
5h ago
conviction signal
5h ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
6h ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 27¢ (-51¢ in 15 min)
7h ago
High volatility
±5.4¢ swing band
7h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Sep 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT Sep 14 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Sep 15 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Quick answers

How did "Ethereum Up or Down on September 15?" resolve?

This market ended on September 15, 2026 with a final traded price of 95¢ YES (95% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.