Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix? — live odds

Part of Hungarian Grand Prix: Driver Winner· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

89%

implied probability

YES 89¢NO 11¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$119K

24h volume

$138K

total volume

Aug 2, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
15m ago
Odds swing
80¢ → 3¢ (-77¢ in 15 min)
15m ago
High volatility
±9.5¢ swing band
31m ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 88¢ (+85¢ in 15 min)
31m ago
Volume spike
$213 traded — 4.1× the average
33m ago
High volatility
±12.8¢ swing band
46m ago
High volatility
±34.9¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 84¢ (+84¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Volume spike
$1,141 traded — 30.6× the average
1h ago
conviction signal
2h ago

How this market resolves

This is a polymarket on the winner of the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. If the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Aug 2, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Final Classification published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race. The Final Classification is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the Final Classification will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.