GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?" is trading at a 97% implied probability, with YES at 97¢ and NO at 3¢. $402K has changed hands so far, $47K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

97%

implied probability

YES 97¢NO 3¢

recent price

+16¢ over the window

+16¢

24h change

$47K

24h volume

$402K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±23.9¢ swing band
3m ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 56¢ (-40.2¢ in 15 min)
3m ago
High volatility
±33.3¢ swing band
18m ago
Volume spike
$318 traded — 10.5× the average
24m ago
Volume spike
$1,791 traded — 60.4× the average
32m ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 5¢ (-88¢ in 15 min)
48m ago
High volatility
±18.1¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
96¢ → 22¢ (-73.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Volume spike
$200 traded — 6.7× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±16.7¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".