GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? — final odds

This market has ended · January 1, 2028Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?" resolved on January 1, 2028 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $435K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$78K

24h volume

$435K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
45d ago
Odds swing
22¢ → 47¢ (+25¢ in 15 min)
45d ago
High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
45d ago
High volatility
±8¢ swing band
45d ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 22¢ (-24¢ in 15 min)
45d ago
High volatility
±21.2¢ swing band
45d ago
Odds swing
47¢ → 92¢ (+45.2¢ in 15 min)
45d ago
High volatility
±12¢ swing band
45d ago
High volatility
±9.2¢ swing band
45d ago
High volatility
±12.6¢ swing band
45d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

How did "GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?" resolve?

This market ended on January 1, 2028 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.