GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of GRVT FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?" is trading at a 24% implied probability, with YES at 24¢ and NO at 76¢. $196K has changed hands so far, $31K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

24%

implied probability

YES 24¢NO 76¢

recent price

-22¢ over the window

-22¢

24h change

$31K

24h volume

$196K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±13.9¢ swing band
9m ago
Odds swing
16¢ → 29¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
9m ago
Volume spike
$2,324 traded — 91.9× the average
15m ago
High volatility
±29.5¢ swing band
25m ago
Odds swing
68¢ → 28¢ (-39.5¢ in 15 min)
25m ago
High volatility
±20.4¢ swing band
41m ago
Volume spike
$150 traded — 6× the average
44m ago
Volume spike
$98 traded — 3.9× the average
51m ago
High volatility
±28.3¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
47¢ → 12¢ (-35¢ in 15 min)
56m ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GRVT's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GRVT (https://x.com/grvt_io) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".