GTA VI released by October 31? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 1, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"GTA VI released by October 31?" resolved NO on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $132K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

—

24h volume

$132K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±26.9¢ swing band
7d ago
High volatility
±25.2¢ swing band
122d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 100¢ (+95.6¢ in 15 min)
122d ago
High volatility
±26.4¢ swing band
122d ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 89¢ (+85.3¢ in 15 min)
122d ago
High volatility
±28.3¢ swing band
122d ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
130d ago
Odds swing
34¢ → 57¢ (+22.7¢ in 15 min)
130d ago
High volatility
±14.5¢ swing band
133d ago
Odds swing
56¢ → 6¢ (-50.2¢ in 15 min)
133d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.

Quick answers

How did "GTA VI released by October 31?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.