Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond? — live odds
"Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $2K has changed hands so far, $141 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$141
24h volume
$2K
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond?"?
The market currently prices YES at — and NO at —, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$2K has been traded in total, $141 of it in the last 24 hours.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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