Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Metamask FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

79%

implied probability

YES 79¢NO 21¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$78K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
98¢ → 68¢ (-30¢ in 15 min)
2m ago
High volatility
±25.8¢ swing band
18m ago
High volatility
±27.2¢ swing band
33m ago
High volatility
±25.6¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 1¢ (-49¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
conviction signal
4h ago
High volatility
±7.4¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±18.4¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
54¢ → 98¢ (+44¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±35¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".