Mistral AI IPO before 2027? live odds

14%

implied probability

YES 14¢NO 87¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$50

24h volume

$163K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±28¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 4¢ (-23¢ in 15 min)

    31d ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 15¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.8¢ swing band

    36d ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 17¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)

    36d ago
  • Odds swing

    83¢ → 18¢ (-65¢ in 15 min)

    36d ago
  • High volatility

    ±4¢ swing band

    36d ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.1¢ swing band

    36d ago
  • Odds swing

    20¢ → 83¢ (+63¢ in 15 min)

    36d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Mistral AI IPO before 2027?"?

The market currently prices YES at 14¢ and NO at 87¢, an implied probability of 14% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$163K has been traded in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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