Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? — live odds

"Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?" is trading at a 47% implied probability, with YES at 47¢ and NO at 53¢. $23K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.

47%

implied probability

YES 47¢NO 53¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$23K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    89¢ → 35¢ (-54¢ in 15 min)

    6m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.3¢ swing band

    37m ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 12¢ (-86¢ in 15 min)

    37m ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.5¢ swing band

    54m ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    22¢ → 98¢ (+76¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±12.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    63¢ → 51¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.6¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    88¢ → 66¢ (-22¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at 47¢ and NO at 53¢, an implied probability of 47% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$23K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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