
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026? — live odds
"Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?" is trading at a 47% implied probability, with YES at 47¢ and NO at 53¢. $23K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.
47%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$23K
total volume
Nov 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 6m ago
Odds swing
89¢ → 35¢ (-54¢ in 15 min)
- 37m ago
High volatility
±26.3¢ swing band
- 37m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 12¢ (-86¢ in 15 min)
- 54m ago
High volatility
±19.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
High volatility
±30.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
22¢ → 98¢ (+76¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±12.2¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 51¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±17.6¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
88¢ → 66¢ (-22¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by October 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 47¢ and NO at 53¢, an implied probability of 47% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$23K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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