Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? — live odds
16%
implied probability
recent price
-82¢ over the window
-82¢
24h change
$140
24h volume
$7.9M
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 21d ago
High volatility
±23.6¢ swing band
- 21d ago
High volatility
±37.2¢ swing band
- 21d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 15¢ (-83¢ in 15 min)
- 21d ago
High volatility
±24.5¢ swing band
- 21d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 12¢ (-86¢ in 15 min)
- 21d ago
High volatility
±35.6¢ swing band
- 26d ago
Odds swing
61¢ → 93¢ (+32¢ in 15 min)
- 26d ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
- 26d ago
Odds swing
91¢ → 14¢ (-77.5¢ in 15 min)
- 30d ago
High volatility
±22.9¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?"?
The market currently prices YES at 16¢ and NO at 85¢, an implied probability of 16% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$7.9M has been traded in total, $140 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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