Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? — live odds
"Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?" is trading at a 4% implied probability, with YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢. $8.0M has changed hands so far, $100 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.
4%
implied probability
recent price
+3¢ over the window
+3¢
24h change
$100
24h volume
$8.0M
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 20h ago
High volatility
±19.4¢ swing band
- 20h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 70¢ (+65.2¢ in 15 min)
- 67d ago
High volatility
±23.6¢ swing band
- 67d ago
High volatility
±37.2¢ swing band
- 67d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 15¢ (-83¢ in 15 min)
- 67d ago
High volatility
±24.5¢ swing band
- 67d ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 12¢ (-86¢ in 15 min)
- 67d ago
High volatility
±35.6¢ swing band
- 72d ago
Odds swing
61¢ → 93¢ (+32¢ in 15 min)
- 72d ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where the listed company is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between the listed company and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed company and/or its leadership; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?"?
The market currently prices YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢, an implied probability of 4% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$8.0M has been traded in total, $100 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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