OpenAI IPO before 2027? — live odds

Part of IPOs before 2027?· see all 29 outcomes →📲 Open in app

20%

implied probability

YES 20¢NO 81¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$5K

24h volume

$434K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±50.1¢ swing band
19d ago
High volatility
±28¢ swing band
19d ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 99¢ (+32¢ in 15 min)
19d ago
High volatility
±60.8¢ swing band
19d ago
High volatility
±11.6¢ swing band
36d ago
Odds swing
54¢ → 91¢ (+37¢ in 15 min)
36d ago
High volatility
±39.3¢ swing band
36d ago
Odds swing
76¢ → 88¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
36d ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
36d ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 18¢ (-60¢ in 15 min)
36d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, as confirmed by official company announcements or credible news sources. The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No". This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.