Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-99¢ over the window

-99¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$112K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±30.8¢ swing band
3m ago
Odds swing
88¢ → 68¢ (-19.5¢ in 15 min)
3m ago
High volatility
±34.4¢ swing band
18m ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 13¢ (-22.8¢ in 15 min)
18m ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
33m ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 98¢ (+84.7¢ in 15 min)
33m ago
High volatility
±16.6¢ swing band
49m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 48¢ (-51.6¢ in 15 min)
49m ago
High volatility
±23.3¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 68¢ (+67.8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".