Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

20%

implied probability

YES 20¢NO 81¢

recent price

-74¢ over the window

-74¢

24h change

$324

24h volume

$77K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±29.2¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 98¢ (+79¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 98¢ (+97¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±33.6¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 1¢ (-31¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±6.6¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 15¢ (-83¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±39.7¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 1¢ (-19¢ in 15 min)
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".