
Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale? — live odds
97%
implied probability
recent price
+14¢ over the window
+14¢
24h change
$773
24h volume
$2K
total volume
Sep 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 14m ago
High volatility
±6.4¢ swing band
- 29m ago
High volatility
±5.8¢ swing band
- 29m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 90¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±26.5¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
88¢ → 10¢ (-78¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±19.6¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±8.1¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the TownSquare raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official TownSquare sale page at https://www.townsq.xyz/sale. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Over $2M committed to the TownSquare public sale?"?
The market currently prices YES at 97¢ and NO at 3¢, an implied probability of 97% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$2K has been traded in total, $773 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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