
Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale? — final odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
-84¢ over the window
-84¢
24h change
$433K
24h volume
$704K
total volume
Aug 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 4d ago
Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0035¢ normal
- 4d ago
High volatility
±16.4¢ swing band
- 4d ago
High volatility
±26.9¢ swing band
- 4d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 41¢ (-58.9¢ in 15 min)
- 4d ago
High volatility
±32.6¢ swing band
- 4d ago
Odds swing
30¢ → 1¢ (-29¢ in 15 min)
- 4d ago
conviction signal
- 4d ago
High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
- 4d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 100¢ (+99¢ in 15 min)
- 4d ago
Volume spike
$22,664 traded — 112.1× the average
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Credible raise on MetaDAO exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official Credible sale page at https://www.metadao.fi/projects/credible/fundraise. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Quick answers
How did "Over $30M committed to the Credible public sale?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on August 31, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$704K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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