Over $30M committed to the Mori Finance public sale? — live odds

"Over $30M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $18K has changed hands so far, $6K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

+28¢ over the window

+28¢

24h change

$6K

24h volume

$18K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21¢ swing band

    2m ago
  • Odds swing

    7¢ → 48¢ (+40.8¢ in 15 min)

    3m ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.8¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 91¢ (+89.7¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.4¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    7¢ → 37¢ (+30.1¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 37¢ (+33.9¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.8¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 59¢ (+55¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the Mori Finance raise on MetaDAO exceed the value specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the "committed" figure displayed on the official Mori Finance raise page on MetaDAO, currently https://metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance. Commitments in USDC are counted at face value as US dollars. If the displayed figure exceeds the specified value at any point before the raise closes and before November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No" once the raise closes or on November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, whichever comes first. A value exactly equal to the specified value will resolve to "No". If the figure on the raise page is unavailable, official announcements from MetaDAO (https://x.com/MetaDAOProject) or Mori Finance (https://x.com/morifinance_) may be used; if no official figure is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market's resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period through November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will count toward resolution.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Over $30M committed to the Mori Finance public sale?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://metadao.fi/companies/mori-finance.

How much has been traded on this market?

$18K has been traded in total, $6K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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