Over $750k committed to the TownSquare public sale? live odds

5%

implied probability

YES NO 95¢

recent price

-91¢ over the window

-91¢

24h change

$11K

24h volume

$12K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±16.8¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • Odds swing

    46¢ → 1¢ (-45¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.3¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • Odds swing

    57¢ → 11¢ (-46¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.5¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    54¢ → 95¢ (+40.9¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.2¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.6¢ swing band

    6h ago
  • High volatility

    ±11¢ swing band

    6h ago
  • Odds swing

    29¢ → 10¢ (-18.9¢ in 15 min)

    6h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if total commitments for the TownSquare raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the “committed” figure displayed on the official TownSquare sale page at https://www.townsq.xyz/sale. If the displayed figure reaches the threshold at any point before August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of subsequent refunds or cancellations. If the sale is on hold and no commitment total is verifiable by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the raise event is otherwise cancelled or rescheduled to a time past that date, this market resolves to "No". If requisite information for this market’s resolution becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. If the sale begins and is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Over $750k committed to the TownSquare public sale?"?

The market currently prices YES at 5¢ and NO at 95¢, an implied probability of 5% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$12K has been traded in total, $11K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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