Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch? — live odds

"Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?" is trading at a 85% implied probability, with YES at 85¢ and NO at 15¢. $53K has changed hands so far, $19K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

85%

implied probability

YES 85¢NO 15¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$19K

24h volume

$53K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±17.9¢ swing band

    15m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 31¢ (+30¢ in 15 min)

    15m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25¢ swing band

    34m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 88¢ (+87¢ in 15 min)

    34m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25¢ swing band

    50m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 88¢ (+87¢ in 15 min)

    50m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    32¢ → 94¢ (+62¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±44.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,719 traded — 131.4× the average

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Papertrade FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 85¢ and NO at 15¢, an implied probability of 85% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. The stated resolution source is https://x.com/papertrade_xyz.

How much has been traded on this market?

$53K has been traded in total, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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