Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 8 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?" is trading at a 48% implied probability, with YES at 48¢ and NO at 52¢. $15K has changed hands so far, $1K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

48%

implied probability

YES 48¢NO 52¢

recent price

-45¢ over the window

-45¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$15K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±14.7¢ swing band
12m ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 82¢ (+41¢ in 15 min)
12m ago
High volatility
±33¢ swing band
27m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 15¢ (+14¢ in 15 min)
27m ago
High volatility
±14.9¢ swing band
43m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 53¢ (+52¢ in 15 min)
43m ago
High volatility
±14.9¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 53¢ (+52¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±32¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±46.1¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Papertrade's token is greater than the specified value 1 day after launch. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Papertrade after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Papertrade (https://x.com/papertrade_xyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".