Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? live odds

63%

implied probability

YES 63¢NO 37¢

recent price

+63¢ over the window

+63¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$104K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±22.6¢ swing band

    14m ago
  • Odds swing

    63¢ → 26¢ (-37¢ in 15 min)

    14m ago
  • High volatility

    ±36.3¢ swing band

    30m ago
  • Odds swing

    26¢ → 3¢ (-23¢ in 15 min)

    30m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.6¢ swing band

    45m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 26¢ (-73.6¢ in 15 min)

    45m ago
  • High volatility

    ±10.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    26¢ → 5¢ (-20.7¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±47¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    65¢ → 26¢ (-38.9¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 63¢ and NO at 37¢, an implied probability of 63% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

How much has been traded on this market?

$104K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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