
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? — live odds
63%
implied probability
recent price
+63¢ over the window
+63¢
24h change
$1K
24h volume
$104K
total volume
Jan 1, 2028
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 14m ago
High volatility
±22.6¢ swing band
- 14m ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 26¢ (-37¢ in 15 min)
- 30m ago
High volatility
±36.3¢ swing band
- 30m ago
Odds swing
26¢ → 3¢ (-23¢ in 15 min)
- 45m ago
High volatility
±26.6¢ swing band
- 45m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 26¢ (-73.6¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±10.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
26¢ → 5¢ (-20.7¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±47¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
65¢ → 26¢ (-38.9¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?"?
The market currently prices YES at 63¢ and NO at 37¢, an implied probability of 63% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.
How much has been traded on this market?
$104K has been traded in total, $1K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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