Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?" is trading at a 78% implied probability, with YES at 78¢ and NO at 22¢. $807K has changed hands so far, $350 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

78%

implied probability

YES 78¢NO 22¢

recent price

-33¢ over the window

-33¢

24h change

$350

24h volume

$807K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±5.8¢ swing band
14m ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 80¢ (+20¢ in 15 min)
14m ago
High volatility
±9.9¢ swing band
30m ago
Odds swing
61¢ → 92¢ (+31¢ in 15 min)
30m ago
High volatility
±22¢ swing band
47m ago
High volatility
±18.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
78¢ → 93¢ (+15.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±11.9¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 78¢ (-16¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±30.3¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".