Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? live odds

8%

implied probability

YES NO 92¢

recent price

-92¢ over the window

-92¢

24h change

$580

24h volume

$482K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    8¢ → 16¢ (+8¢ in 15 min)

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.5¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • Odds swing

    17¢ → 33¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.9¢ swing band

    43m ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 16¢ (-83.8¢ in 15 min)

    43m ago
  • Odds swing

    16¢ → 8¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)

    58m ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±35.3¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    17¢ → 100¢ (+82.8¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 8¢ and NO at 92¢, an implied probability of 8% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

How much has been traded on this market?

$482K has been traded in total, $580 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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