Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? live odds

"Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?" is trading at a 39% implied probability, with YES at 39¢ and NO at 62¢. $330K has changed hands so far, $150 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

39%

implied probability

YES 39¢NO 62¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$150

24h volume

$330K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±32.6¢ swing band

    47m ago
  • Odds swing

    76¢ → 40¢ (-36¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.6¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    37¢ → 74¢ (+37¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 36¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.2¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 37¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)

    6h ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.8¢ swing band

    7h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.9¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    37¢ → 68¢ (+31¢ in 15 min)

    9h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 39¢ and NO at 62¢, an implied probability of 39% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

How much has been traded on this market?

$330K has been traded in total, $150 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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