Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? — live odds

"Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?" is trading at a 71% implied probability, with YES at 71¢ and NO at 29¢. $367K has changed hands so far, $221 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

71%

implied probability

YES 71¢NO 29¢

recent price

+10¢ over the window

+10¢

24h change

$221

24h volume

$367K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±7.3¢ swing band

    12m ago
  • Odds swing

    68¢ → 87¢ (+19¢ in 15 min)

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.8¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.2¢ swing band

    42m ago
  • Odds swing

    26¢ → 91¢ (+65¢ in 15 min)

    42m ago
  • Odds swing

    96¢ → 71¢ (-25.5¢ in 15 min)

    59m ago
  • High volatility

    ±43¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    97¢ → 74¢ (-23¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.1¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 92¢ (+65¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 71¢ and NO at 29¢, an implied probability of 71% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. The stated resolution source is https://predict.fun/.

How much has been traded on this market?

$367K has been traded in total, $221 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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