StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? live odds

68%

implied probability

YES 68¢NO 32¢

recent price

+5¢ over the window

+5¢

24h change

$30

24h volume

$1K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±6.5¢ swing band

    17m ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.9¢ swing band

    33m ago
  • Odds swing

    23¢ → 63¢ (+40¢ in 15 min)

    33m ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.1¢ swing band

    48m ago
  • Odds swing

    88¢ → 77¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)

    48m ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.4¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    63¢ → 99¢ (+36¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.2¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.1¢ swing band

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 68¢ and NO at 32¢, an implied probability of 68% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$1K has been traded in total, $30 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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