StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch? live odds

"StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?" is trading at a 35% implied probability, with YES at 35¢ and NO at 65¢. $3K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

35%

implied probability

YES 35¢NO 65¢

recent price

+45¢ over the window

+45¢

24h change

24h volume

$3K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±23.4¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    25¢ → 59¢ (+34¢ in 15 min)

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.1¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 34¢ (+32.5¢ in 15 min)

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.1¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.6¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.2¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    45¢ → 94¢ (+49¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±40.2¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    7¢ → 41¢ (+34¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 35¢ and NO at 65¢, an implied probability of 35% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$3K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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