StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? live odds

"StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $185K has changed hands so far, $17 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$17

24h volume

$185K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21.7¢ swing band

    6h ago
  • Odds swing

    78¢ → 1¢ (-77.3¢ in 15 min)

    6h ago
  • High volatility

    ±22¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    78¢ → 3¢ (-75.3¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 1¢ (-99.2¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.1¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±32.5¢ swing band

    3d ago
  • High volatility

    ±19.6¢ swing band

    3d ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 70¢ (+66.6¢ in 15 min)

    3d ago
  • High volatility

    ±33.3¢ swing band

    3d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$185K has been traded in total, $17 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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