StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? live odds

15%

implied probability

YES 15¢NO 85¢

recent price

-83¢ over the window

-83¢

24h change

24h volume

$404K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±57.8¢ swing band

    10h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 1¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)

    10h ago
  • High volatility

    ±63.1¢ swing band

    10h ago
  • High volatility

    ±58.6¢ swing band

    10h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 1¢ (-97¢ in 15 min)

    10h ago
  • High volatility

    ±46.1¢ swing band

    11h ago
  • High volatility

    ±62.3¢ swing band

    17h ago
  • Odds swing

    64¢ → 17¢ (-47¢ in 15 min)

    17h ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.3¢ swing band

    17h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 17¢ (-81¢ in 15 min)

    17h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 15¢ and NO at 85¢, an implied probability of 15% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$404K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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