StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? — live odds

"StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $64K has changed hands so far, $40 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

+31¢ over the window

+31¢

24h change

$40

24h volume

$64K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±9.2¢ swing band

    16m ago
  • High volatility

    ±12¢ swing band

    31m ago
  • Odds swing

    68¢ → 83¢ (+15.1¢ in 15 min)

    31m ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.6¢ swing band

    48m ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 59¢ (+58.8¢ in 15 min)

    48m ago
  • High volatility

    ±19¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    84¢ → 2¢ (-82.1¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±32.2¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±32.8¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.5¢ swing band

    5h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027. The stated resolution source is https://x.com/StandX_Official.

How much has been traded on this market?

$64K has been traded in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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