
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? — live odds
98%
implied probability
recent price
+68¢ over the window
+68¢
24h change
$162
24h volume
$36K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 15m ago
High volatility
±49.9¢ swing band
- 15m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 98¢ (+97¢ in 15 min)
- 30m ago
High volatility
±42.2¢ swing band
- 30m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 30¢ (+29¢ in 15 min)
- 46m ago
High volatility
±34.2¢ swing band
- 46m ago
Odds swing
35¢ → 98¢ (+63¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±29.6¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
29¢ → 98¢ (+69¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±50.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
29¢ → 98¢ (+69¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?"?
The market currently prices YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢, an implied probability of 98% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$36K has been traded in total, $162 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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