StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch? live odds

98%

implied probability

YES 98¢NO

recent price

+68¢ over the window

+68¢

24h change

$162

24h volume

$36K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±49.9¢ swing band

    15m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 98¢ (+97¢ in 15 min)

    15m ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.2¢ swing band

    30m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 30¢ (+29¢ in 15 min)

    30m ago
  • High volatility

    ±34.2¢ swing band

    46m ago
  • Odds swing

    35¢ → 98¢ (+63¢ in 15 min)

    46m ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    29¢ → 98¢ (+69¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±50.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    29¢ → 98¢ (+69¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 98¢ and NO at 2¢, an implied probability of 98% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$36K has been traded in total, $162 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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