
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? — live odds
4%
implied probability
recent price
-79¢ over the window
-79¢
24h change
$511
24h volume
$123K
total volume
Jan 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 5h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 84¢ (+82.2¢ in 15 min)
- 5h ago
High volatility
±42.2¢ swing band
- 5h ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 58¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
- 5h ago
conviction signal
- 5h ago
High volatility
±25.2¢ swing band
- 6h ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
- 1d ago
High volatility
±20.6¢ swing band
- 1d ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
- 1d ago
High volatility
±21.8¢ swing band
- 1d ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 97¢ (+94¢ in 15 min)
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?"?
The market currently prices YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢, an implied probability of 4% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$123K has been traded in total, $511 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app
Related Crypto markets
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
58%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
86%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
60%
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
99%
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
100%