StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? live odds

4%

implied probability

YES NO 96¢

recent price

-79¢ over the window

-79¢

24h change

$511

24h volume

$123K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 84¢ (+82.2¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.2¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    67¢ → 58¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
  • conviction signal

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.2¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27¢ swing band

    6h ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.6¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.9¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.8¢ swing band

    1d ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 97¢ (+94¢ in 15 min)

    1d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢, an implied probability of 4% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$123K has been traded in total, $511 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

Download on the App StoreGet it on Google Play

Already have PolyWatch? Open this market in the app

Related Crypto markets