StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? live odds

3%

implied probability

YES NO 97¢

recent price

-6¢ over the window

-6¢

24h change

$585

24h volume

$66K

total volume

TBD

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 4¢ (-96¢ in 15 min)

    21m ago
  • High volatility

    ±71¢ swing band

    36m ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 100¢ (+97.3¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±40.2¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    48¢ → 3¢ (-45.2¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 6¢ (-93.5¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±41.8¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.7¢ swing band

    4h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of StandX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If StandX (https://x.com/StandX_Official) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch?"?

The market currently prices YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢, an implied probability of 3% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

The resolution date for this market has not been set.

How much has been traded on this market?

$66K has been traded in total, $585 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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