Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? — live odds

Part of Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

+95¢ over the window

+95¢

24h change

24h volume

$32K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.1¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 95¢ (+94.2¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±40.4¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
95¢ → 0¢ (-94.9¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
12h ago
High volatility
±28.3¢ swing band
20h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 0¢ (-98.5¢ in 15 min)
20h ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
20h ago
High volatility
±58.7¢ swing band
21h ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 0¢ (-19.6¢ in 15 min)
21h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".