Which outcome is favored for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??

This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 1B (59% implied). All 10 thresholds are ranked in the table below.

How much has been traded on Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??

$3.6M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $753 of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

Event odds table

Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? — live odds

10 outcomes$3.6M traded$753 · 24hresolves by January 1, 2028

Live Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 1B (59% implied), with all 10 thresholds ranked below by probability and $3.6M traded, resolving by January 1, 2028. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

1B 59%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 10 levels

Full market details →

1200M

98%98¢ · — 24h 2100M

98%98¢ · — 24h 3300M

93%93¢ · $251 24h 4500M

87%87¢ · $10 24h 5800M

73%73¢ · — 24h 61B

59%59¢ · $208 24h 72B

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??: This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 1B (59% implied). All 10 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
How much has been traded on Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch??: $3.6M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $753 of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 10 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.