Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026? — live odds

"Will 1win launch a token by October 31, 2026?" is trading at a 100% implied probability, with YES at 100¢ and NO at 0¢. $1.5M has changed hands so far, $1.5M of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+36¢ over the window

+36¢

24h change

$1.5M

24h volume

$1.5M

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

conviction signal
18m ago
High volatility
±38.2¢ swing band
25m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 100¢ (+99.8¢ in 15 min)
25m ago
Volume spike
$26,940 traded — 47.7× the average
44m ago
High volatility
±21.3¢ swing band
44m ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 100¢ (+50¢ in 15 min)
44m ago
Volume spike
$1,729 traded — 3.1× the average
51m ago
High volatility
±35.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
50¢ → 100¢ (+49.9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±45¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if 1win officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from 1win (https://x.com/1winToken), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.