Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 28, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

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99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$51K

total volume

Jul 28, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, July 28, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Quick answers

How did "Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the top US Netflix movie this week?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 28, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.