
Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October? — final odds
"Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?" resolved YES on November 11, 2026 at a final price of 97¢ YES — a 97% implied probability — after $46K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
97%
implied probability
recent price
+6¢ over the window
+6¢
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$46K
total volume
Nov 11, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending October 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in October 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report. The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for October 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on November 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Quick answers
How did "Will annual inflation be 3.7% in October?" resolve?
This market resolved YES on November 11, 2026. Its final traded price was 97¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 97¢ — an implied probability of 97%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$46K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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