Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? live odds

"Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $3K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this finance market in real time.

0%

implied probability

YES NO

recent price

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$3K

total volume

Jul 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?"?

The market currently prices YES at — and NO at —, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 1, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$3K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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