Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? — live odds
"Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?" is trading at a 14% implied probability, with YES at 14¢ and NO at 87¢. $144K has changed hands so far, $15K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.
14%
implied probability
recent price
-2¢ over the window
-2¢
24h change
$15K
24h volume
$144K
total volume
Aug 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 4d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.953 · edge: 0.037
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?"?
The market currently prices YES at 14¢ and NO at 87¢, an implied probability of 14% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$144K has been traded in total, $15K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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